我们何时应该担忧通货膨胀?

When Should We Worry about Inflation?

World Bank Economic Review · 2011
被引 20
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了通货膨胀在什么水平会损害经济增长,发现发展中国家通胀超过10%会迅速抑制增长,而发达国家任何水平的通胀都对增长有害。

Abstract

At what level should inflation be a concern? From a growth perspective, high and rising levels of inflation as in 2006–2008 raise concerns that inflation, if uncontained, could undermine growth. On the other hand, higher levels of inflation could create more space for using monetary policy to reduce nominal and real interest rates during financial crises. A nonlinear growth regression for 165 countries over 1960–2007 shows that for developing countries, inflation above 10 percent quickly hurts growth. For advanced economies, there is no specific threshold: in the medium term, higher inflation hurts growth for any initial level of inflation, suggesting that there is a real cost to maintaining higher inflation as a buffer. Copyright , Oxford University Press.

通货膨胀阈值经济增长非线性回归发展中国家