Accounting for the Effect Of Health on Economic Growth
利用微观估计的健康对个人收入的影响,构建宏观估计,发现消除国家间健康差异可使人均GDP对数的方差降低9.9%,90/10分位比从20.5降至17.9,效果小于跨国回归的估计。
I use microeconomic estimates of the effect of health on individual outcomes to construct macroeconomic estimates of the proximate effect of health on GDP per capita. I employ a variety of methods to construct estimates of the return to health, which I combine with cross-country and historical data on height, adult survival rates, and age at menarche. Using my preferred estimate, eliminating health differences among countries would reduce the variance of log GDP per worker by 9.9 percent and reduce the ratio of GDP per worker at the 90th percentile to GDP per worker at the lOth percentile from 20.5 to 17.9. While this effect is economically significant, it is also substantially smaller than estimates of the effect of health on economic growth that are derived from cross-country regressions.