How Do Firing Costs Affect Worker Flows in a World with Adverse Selection?
通过理论和实证分析,研究解雇成本增加如何使企业更倾向于雇佣在职工人(而非失业者),并利用美国各州的不当解雇条款数据验证了这一预测。
This article provides theoretical and empirical analyses of a firing costs model with adverse selection. Our theory suggests that, as firing costs increase, firms increasingly prefer hiring employed workers, who are less likely to be lemons. Estimates of re-employment probabilities from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth support this prediction. Unjust-dismissal provisions in U.S. states reduce the re-employment probabilities of unemployed workers relative to employed workers. Consistent with a lemons story, the relative effects of unjust-dismissal provisions on the unemployed are generally smaller for union workers and those who lost their previous jobs due to the end of a contract.