Unpacking Affective Forecasting and Its Ties to Project Work In Organizations
探讨项目工作如何挑战情感预测的传统假设,提出情感预测通过调节焦点影响项目成败,并分析组织因素如何放大预测偏差,对组织行为研究者有启发。
When thinking about the future, people often engage in affective forecasting—predicting what it would feel like to experience a particular event. In this article we explore how a specific form of work ubiquitous in today's organizations—project assignments—provides cause to reconsider assumptions surrounding affective forecasting. To this end, we synthesize research on affective forecasting and theorize connections between affective forecasting and project success (versus failure), rooting our arguments in the claim that affective forecasting shapes a key motivation-related aspect of performance—regulatory focus. Further, we account for systematic biases underlying affective forecasting and consider how organizational factors may shape the strength of these biases. Collectively, our arguments expand and, in some respects, challenge theory on affective forecasting and open new windows into the study of affect (i.e., mood and emotion) in organizations.