现在就做还是以后再做

Doing It Now or Later

American Economic Review · 1999
被引 3080 · 同刊同年前 2%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究人们在做一次性活动时的自我控制问题,区分活动是立即付出成本还是立即获得回报,以及人们是天真还是老练地对待未来的自我控制问题,并讨论了对储蓄、成瘾等领域的启示。

Abstract

We examine self-control problems—modeled as time-inconsistent, present-biased preferences—in a model where a person must do an activity exactly once. We emphasize two distinctions: Do activities involve immediate costs or immediate rewards, and are people sophisticated or naive about future self-control problems? Naive people procrastinate immediate-cost activities and preproperate—do too soon—immediate-reward activities. Sophistication mitigates procrastination, but exacerbates preproperation. Moreover, with immediate costs, a small present bias can severely harm only naive people, whereas with immediate rewards it can severely harm only sophisticated people. Lessons for savings, addiction, and elsewhere are discussed.

自我控制时间不一致偏好现时偏向拖延行为