实现波动率的自助法

Bootstrapping Realized Volatility

Econometrica · 2008
被引 163
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

提出两种自助法(独立同分布自助法和野自助法)来改进实现波动率及其对数变换的统计推断,证明其一阶渐近有效性,并分析二阶渐近精炼条件,对高频金融数据研究者有参考价值。

Abstract

We propose bootstrap methods for a general class of nonlinear transformations of realized volatility which includes the raw version of realized volatility and its logarithmic transformation as special cases. We consider the independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) bootstrap and the wild bootstrap (WB), and prove their first-order asymptotic validity under general assumptions on the log-price process that allow for drift and leverage effects. We derive Edgeworth expansions in a simpler model that rules out these effects. The i.i.d. bootstrap provides a second-order asymptotic refinement when volatility is constant, but not otherwise. The WB yields a second-order asymptotic refinement under stochastic volatility provided we choose the external random variable used to construct the WB data appropriately. None of these methods provides third-order asymptotic refinements. Both methods improve upon the first-order asymptotic theory in finite samples. Copyright 2009 The Econometric Society.

Bootstrap方法已实现波动率随机波动率渐近精炼