Progress in Behavioral Game Theory
行为博弈论通过融入心理因素和学习来预测人的实际行为,总结了玩家具有公平和复仇等社会价值观、个体判断中的框架效应和过度自信在博弈中显现、以及战略原则被违反等实验发现,并指出未来应将这些发现纳入正式博弈论。
Behavioral game theory aims to predict how people actually behave by incorporating psychological elements and learning into game theory. With this goal in mind, experimental findings can be organized into three categories: players have systematic 'reciprocated social values,' like desires for fairness and revenge. Phenomena discovered in studies of individual judgments and choices, like 'framing' and overconfidence, are also evident in games. Strategic principles, like irrelevance of strategy labels and timing of moves, iterated elimination of dominated strategies, and backward induction, are violated. Future research should incorporate these findings, along with learning and 'pregame theory,' into formal game theory.