Seasonality, Market Timing and Performance Amongst Benchmarks and Mutual Fund Evaluation
研究遗漏相关基准对共同基金评估的影响，分析西班牙共同基金在股票选择、市场时机和季节性三方面的表现，发现遗漏小盘股基准会导致负市场时机和年初正季节性，而年末、月末及7月初的正季节性则不受影响。
Abstract: Mutual fund performance is normally measured by comparing results of active management with those obtained by one or several benchmarks that should represent the fund's investment. In this context, this paper examines the effect on mutual fund assessment if a relevant benchmark is omitted. This effect is analysed in three elements of active management: stock selection, market timing, and seasonality. The latter is defined as fund management at specific moments of time with the objective of achieving positive abnormal returns to improve performance. For a sample of Spanish mutual funds, we find that the omission of style benchmarks, particularly that corresponding to small‐cap stocks, leads to greater evidence of negative market timing and positive seasonality at year beginning. However, the positive abnormal returns of the seasonality at year end, month end and especially at the beginning of July hold regardless of benchmark omission. The paper therefore also analyses the relation between performance and seasonality, finding that positive seasonality at year beginning and at July beginning improves performance; however, at other moments it implies a possible window dressing strategy in mutual fund management.