Who leaves after entering the primary sector? Evidence from Swedish micro-level data
利用14轮面板数据，研究员工进入第一产业后为何退出，发现农业教育、高收入和行业工资差异是转向其他行业的主因，而婚姻和高等教育降低离职风险。
Using 14 waves of panel data, this paper investigates why employees entering the primary sector exit subsequently. Transition probabilities are explained by a rich set of individual, regional and sectoral characteristics and a discrete-time competing risks model with unrestricted base-line hazards is used to distinguish between exits into a job in other sectors and other exits. The results confirm Jovanovic's suggestion of ‘survival of the fittest matches’ as workers and firms learn more about the quality of the match between them. It is found that agricultural education, higher income and sector wage differences are the main determinants of the hazard of moving to another sector, whereas marriage and higher education lower the hazard of leaving for non-employment.