Some Consequences of the 1994–1995 Coffee Boom for Growth and Poverty Reduction in Uganda
利用可计算一般均衡模型分析1994-1995年国际咖啡价格上涨对乌干达经济的影响,发现对中期增长和减贫效果较小,主要受益者是城市工薪阶层和自雇者而非农民。
Abstract This paper reports a computable general equilibrium analysis that explores the consequences of the 1994–1995 increase in the international price of coffee for Uganda's economy. Evidence is found for a small effect on both medium‐term growth and poverty reduction. Aid dependence is among the reasons why this effect is not found to be larger. Major beneficiary groups are not primarily the farmers to which the windfall initially accrued, but urban wage earners and the urban self‐employed.