现金先行模型中货币流通速度的波动性

The Variability of Velocity in Cash-in-Advance Models

Journal of Political Economy · 1991
被引 110
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

基于美国时间序列数据校准现金先行模型,通过数值方法分析货币流通速度、通胀率等变量的随机特性,发现能模拟流通速度波动的模型在其他方面往往与数据不符。

Abstract

Monetary models based on cash-in-advance constraints make strong predictions about the stochastic properties of endogenous variables such as the velocity of circulation of money, the rate of inflation, and real and nominal interest rates. The authors develop numerical methods to understand these predictions because the models cannot be characterized analytically. They calibrate some cash-in-advance models using driving processes estimated from U.S. time-series data to generate model predictions that are compared to sample statistics. Formulations of the models that generate variability in velocity corresponding to the U.S. data typically fail along other dimensions. Copyright 1991 by University of Chicago Press.

现金预付约束货币流通速度数值方法模型校准