新古典货币模型在高通胀中的拟合:以色列1972-1990

On the Fit of a Neoclassical Monetary Model in High Inflation: Israel 1972- 1990

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 1997
被引 5
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

用货币效用模型检验以色列高通胀和稳定化时期的数据,发现简单新古典框架能很好解释货币需求、通胀与铸币税关系、劳动力供给等,且不存在菲利普斯曲线权衡。

Abstract

This paper uses a money-in-tbe-utility model to show that the Israeli data from the high-inflation and poststabilization period fit well the predictions of a simple, neoclassical framework. Specifically, a single parameter money demand equation that is derived from the model fits the data much better than a Cagan money demand ffinction. The model's implsation on the inflation-seigniorage relationship is consistent with the observed fact that while inflation was rising, the inflation-tax revenue remained almost trendless. The labor supply equation derived from the same model is remarkably consistent with the real wage and employment data over the high inflation and stabilization period. There is no evidence for the existence of a Phillips curve employment-inflation trade-off. After the stabilization the demand for money seems to shift. This phenomenon may be due to impxvements in transaction technologies as well as to expecations for stabilization during the high inflation. We also show that temporary fixed exchange rate-based stabilization and consumption boom in the poststabilization period imply low levels of inflation that are consistent with the model.

新古典货币模型高通胀货币需求以色列