过度自信的边缘

On the Verges of Overconfidence

Journal of Economic Perspectives · 2015
被引 111
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

该专题通过多个例子探讨过度自信在消费者、CEO和投资者中的表现,分析其对市场、公共政策和福利的影响,适合对行为金融和实证研究感兴趣的学者。

Abstract

This symposium provides several examples of overconfidence in certain economic contexts. Michael Grubb looks at “Overconfident Consumers in the Marketplace.” Ulrike Malmendier and Geoffrey Tate consider “Behavioral CEOs: The Role of Managerial Overconfidence.” Kent Daniel and David Hirshleifer discuss “Overconfident Investors, Predictable Returns, and Excessive Trading.” A number of insights and lessons emerge for our understanding of markets, public policy, and welfare. How do firms take advantage of consumer overconfidence? Might government attempts to rule out such practices end up providing benefits to some consumers but imposing costs on others? How are empirical measures of CEO overconfidence related to investment and the capital structure of firms? Can overconfidence among at least some investors help to explain prominent anomalies in stock markets like high levels of trading volume and certain predictable patterns in stock market returns?

过度自信消费者行为CEO行为投资者行为市场异象