重叠世代模型中的虚拟确定性

Virtual Determinacy in Overlapping Generations Models

Econometrica · 2008
被引 4
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

重新评估了重叠世代模型中均衡不确定性的意义和稳健性,通过将商品拆分为相近替代品,发现价格、利率等变量变得确定,从而使得部分预测和比较静态政策分析成为可能。

Abstract

We reappraise the significance and robustness of indeterminacy in overlapping-generations models. In any of Gale's example economies with an equilibrium that is not locally unique, for instance, perturbing the economy by judiciously splitting each of Gale's goods into two close substitutes restricts that indeterminacy to each period's allocation of consumption between those substitutes. In particular, prices, interest rates, the commodity value of nominal savings (including money), and utility levels become determinate. Any indeterminacy of equilibrium consumption in the perturbed economy is thus insignificant to consumers, and some forecasting and comparative-statics policy exercises become possible. Copyright 2009 The Econometric Society.

虚拟确定性世代交叠模型局部非唯一均衡商品细分