退化ARCH模型中参数推断的一类对比函数族

ON A FAMILY OF CONTRASTS FOR PARAMETRIC INFERENCE IN DEGENERATE ARCH MODELS

Econometric Theory · 2014
被引 7
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

针对波动率存在退化的ARCH模型(如LARCH过程),提出一类由单个参数索引的对比函数族,用于参数估计,解决了高斯拟似然估计量不一致的问题,并证明了估计量的强相合性和渐近正态性。

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a family of contrasts for parametric inference in ARCH models the volatility of which exhibits some degeneracy. We focus specifically on ARCH processes with a linear volatility (called LARCH processes), for which the Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimator may be inconsistent. Our approach generalizes that of Beran and Schützner (2009) and gives an interesting alternative to the WLSE used by Francq and Zakoïan (2010) for an autoregressive process with LARCH errors. The family of contrasts is indexed by a single parameter that controls the smoothness of an approximated quasi-likelihood function. Under mild conditions, the resulting estimators are shown to be strongly consistent and asymptotically normal. The optimal asymptotic variance is also given. For LARCH processes, an atypical result is obtained: under assumptions, we show that the limiting distribution of the estimators can be arbitrarily close to a Gaussian distribution supported on a line. Extensions to multivariate processes are also discussed.

LARCH模型参数推断对比函数退化波动率