流动性效应、货币政策与经济周期

Liquidity Effects, Monetary Policy, and the Business Cycle

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 1995
被引 227
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

用实证支持货币供给正向冲击降低短期利率的假设,并构建一个一般均衡模型来解释该现象,模型预测货币冲击会提高实际工资,与美国数据一致。

Abstract

This paper presents new empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that positive money supply shocks drive short-term interest rates down. We then present a quantitative, general equilibrium model which is consistent with the hypothesis. The two key features of our model are that (i) money shocks have a heterogeneous impact on agents and (ii) ex post inflexibilities in production give rise to a very low short-run interest elasticity of money demand. Together, these imply that, in our model, a positive money supply shock generates a large drop in the interest rate comparable in magnitude to what we find in the data. In sharp contrast to sticky nominal wage models, our model implies that positive money supply shocks lead to increases in the real wage. We report evidence that this is consistent with the U.S. data. Finally, we show that our model can rationalize a version of the Real Bills Doctrine in which the monetary authority accommodates technology shocks, thereby smoothing interest rates.

流动性效应货币政策商业周期货币供给冲击