实施周期、投资与增长

IMPLEMENTATION CYCLES, INVESTMENT, AND GROWTH*

International Economic Review · 2008
被引 22
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

构建了一个由企业家和企业分散决策驱动的“内在”周期模型,表明当生产率改进的引入是内生的时,即使存在可逆投资和消费平滑,也会出现实施周期,其预测与美国衰退期间投资率和托宾Q的联合行为定性一致。

Abstract

We develop a model of “intrinsic” cycles, driven by the decentralized behavior of entrepreneurs and firms making continuous, divisible improvements in their productivity. We show that when the introduction of productivity improvements is endogenous, implementation cycles arise even in the presence of reversible investment and consumption smoothing. The implied cyclical equilibrium is unique within its class and shares several features in common with actual business cycles. In particular, its predictions are qualitatively consistent with the joint behavior of the investment rate and Tobin's Q during U.S. recessions.

内生实施周期投资生产率改进托宾Q