Portfolio Choices and Asset Prices: The Comparative Statics of Ambiguity Aversion
研究了模糊厌恶程度变化对投资组合选择和资产价格的影响,推导出减少不确定资产需求和增加股权溢价的条件,并举例说明满足条件的分布情形。
This paper investigates the comparative statics of “more ambiguity aversion” as defined by <cross-ref type="bib" refid="bib26">Klibanoff, Marinacci and Mukerji (2005</cross-ref>, “A Smooth Model of Decision Making under Ambiguity”, <it>Econometrica</it>, <b>73</b> (6), 1849–1892). The analysis uses the static two-asset portfolio problem with one safe asset and one uncertain one. While it is intuitive that more ambiguity aversion would reduce demand for the uncertain asset, this is not necessarily the case. We derive sufficient conditions for a reduction in the demand for the uncertain asset and for an increase in the equity premium. An example that meets the sufficient conditions is when the set of plausible distributions for returns on the uncertain asset can be ranked according to their monotone likelihood ratio. It is also shown how ambiguity aversion distorts the price kernel in the alternative portfolio problem with complete markets for contingent claims.