基于德国数据的欧元区小型货币系统

A small monetary system for the euro area based on German data

Journal of Applied Econometrics · 2006
被引 50
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

用德国1998年前季度数据与欧元区1999-2002年数据拟合小向量误差修正模型,发现稳定的长期货币需求关系,对研究欧元区货币政策的学者有参考价值。

Abstract

Abstract Previous euro area money demand studies have used aggregated national time series data from the countries participating in the European Monetary Union (EMU). However, aggregation may be problematic because macroeconomic convergence processes have taken place in the countries of interest. Therefore, in this study, quarterly German data until 1998 are combined with data from the euro area from 1999 until 2002 and these series are used for fitting a small vector error correction model for the monetary sector of the EMU. A stable long‐run money demand relation is found for the full sample period. Moreover, impulse responses do not change much when the sample period is extended by the EMU period provided the break in the extended data series is captured by a simple dummy variable. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

欧元区货币需求德国数据向量误差修正模型货币需求稳定性