Spatial-Endogenous Fire Risk and Efficient Fuel Management and Timber Harvest
将空间火灾行为模型与随机动态优化模型结合，分析燃料管理和木材采伐的最优空间模式，发现两种现行策略有效、两种存疑，对森林火灾风险管理有参考价值。
This paper integrates a spatial fire behavior model and a stochastic dynamic optimization model to determine the optimal spatial pattern of fuel management and timber harvest. Each year's fire season causes the loss of forest values and lives in the western US. This paper uses a multi-plot analysis and incorporates uncertainty about fire ignition locations and weather conditions to inform policy by examining the role of spatial endogenous risk -where management actions on one stand affect fire risk in that and adjacent stands. The results support two current strategies, but question two other strategies, for managing forests with fire risk.