数据中的新闻冲击:奥运会及其宏观经济效应

News Shocks in the Data: Olympic Games and Their Macroeconomic Effects

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2015
被引 77
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

利用188个国家1950-2009年的面板数据,研究发现申办奥运会会提前引发投资、消费和产出的显著增长,证实了经济对新闻冲击的反应。

Abstract

We examine the macroeconomic effects of bidding for the Olympic Games using panel data for 188 countries during the period 1950–2009. Our findings confirm that economies react to news shocks: investment, consumption, and output significantly increase 9 to 7 years before the actual event in bidding countries. Hosting countries also experience significant increases in investment, consumption, and output 5 to 2 years before the hosting of the Games. Mapping the Olympics into a macroeconomic model, we show that we can match our empirical findings if we assume that an Olympic bid represents news about increases in government investment.

新闻冲击奥运会宏观经济效应政府投资