Modeling the Impact of Agricultural Growth and Government Policy on Income Distribution in India
用一般均衡模型分析印度绿色革命期间食品价格、农村工资和农场利润变化对收入分配的影响，发现初期收益流向富裕群体，后期转移给城市消费者，并指出贸易政策、人口增长和非农就业对减贫至关重要。
This article uses a limited general equilibrium model to investigate the growth and equity effects of a variety of economic and technical changes and selected agricultural policies in India. It explores how changes in food prices, rural wages, and farm profits associated with the Green Revolution period affected income distribution between net buyers and sellers of food. The model shows that income gains from the Green Revolution initially accrued to the wealthier rural groups but that after 1972–73 they were transferred to urban consumers and that by 1980–81 the per capita incomes of poor and wealthier rural groups alike were barely above their respective 1960–61 levels. The model is also used in counterfactual analysis of the impact of changes in technological, demographic, investment, taxation, and income redistribution variables. Its findings indicate the importance of trade policies for the nature of the equity outcomes from agricultural growth and suggest that a reduction in population growth and an increase in nonagricultural employment and income are required to convert agricultural growth into reduced rural poverty.