离散股票价格的波动率估计

Estimating the Volatility of Discrete Stock Prices

Journal of Finance · 1988
被引 84
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一种股票价格波动率估计方法,通过关注价格变化速度而非幅度,消除离散观测导致的偏差,并在低中价股票中表现更优。

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper introduces an estimator of stock price volatility that eliminates, at least asymptotically, the biases that are caused by the discreteness of observed stock prices. Assuming that the observed stock prices are continuously monitored, an estimator is constructed using the notion of how quickly the price changes rather than how much the price changes. It is shown that this estimator has desirable asymptotic properties, including consistency and asymptotic normality. Also, through a simulation study, the authors show that it outperforms natural estimators for the low‐ and middle‐priced stocks. Furthermoret, he simulation study demonstratest hat the proposed estimator is robust to certain misspecifications in measuring the time between price changes.

股票价格波动率估计离散价格价格变动速度渐近性质