欠发达国家的劳动力迁移与风险规避

Labor Migration and Risk Aversion in Less Developed Countries

Journal of Labor Economics · 1986
被引 339
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

质疑托达罗模型,证明即使城市预期收入低于农村,在严格条件下(个体决策、单期规划、全局风险规避),劳动力迁移仍可能是理性的。

Abstract

"In this paper we question the pioneering work of Todaro, which states that rural-to-urban labor migration in less developed countries (LDCs) is an individual response to a higher urban expected income. We demonstrate that rural-to-urban labor migration is perfectly rational even if urban expected income is lower than rural income. We achieve this under a set of fairly stringent conditions: an individual decision-making entity, a one-period planning horizon, and global risk aversion. We obtain the result that a small chance of reaping a high reward is sufficient to trigger rural-to-urban labor migration."

劳动力迁移风险厌恶发展中国家托达罗模型