含可能非平稳过程的时间序列模型中的贝叶斯渐近理论

Bayesian Asymptotic Theory in a Time Series Model with a Possible Nonstationary Process

Econometric Theory · 1994
被引 43
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了在可能非平稳的时间序列模型中,贝叶斯后验的渐近正态性成立的条件,对使用贝叶斯方法处理非平稳数据的学者有参考价值。

Abstract

Asymptotic normality of the Bayesian posterior is a well-known result for stationary dynamic models or nondynamic models. This paper extends the analysis to a time series model with a possible nonstationary process. We spell out conditions under which asymptotic normality of the posterior is obtained even if the true data-generation process is a nonstationary process.

贝叶斯渐近理论非平稳过程时间序列模型后验正态性