金蛋与双曲贴现

Golden Eggs and Hyperbolic Discounting

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 1997
被引 6025 · 同刊同年前 7%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

分析拥有双曲贴现偏好的消费者如何利用非流动性资产作为承诺工具,解释消费随收入变动、资产特定边际消费倾向,以及金融创新降低美国储蓄率并可能损害福利。

Abstract

Hyperbolic discount functions induce dynamically inconsistent preferences, implying a motive for consumers to constrain their own future choices. This paper analyzes the decisions of a hyperbolic consumer who has access to an imperfect commitment technology: an illiquid asset whose sale must be initiated one period before the sale proceeds are received. The model predicts that consumption tracks income, and the model explains why consumers have asset-specific marginal propensities to consume. The model suggests that financial innovation may have caused the ongoing decline in U. S. savings rates, since financial innovation increases liquidity, eliminating commitment opportunities. Finally, the model implies that financial market innovation may reduce welfare by providing “too much” liquidity.

双曲贴现动态不一致偏好承诺技术流动性储蓄率