Farmer response to policies promoting organic farming technologies in Finland
通过数值迭代贝尔曼方程和最大似然估计，分析了芬兰农民在传统与有机农业技术间选择的影响因素，发现产出价格下降和直接补贴增加会促使转向有机农业。
This paper analyses factors determining the choice between standard and organic farming technology in Finland by numerically iterating a Bellman equation backwards in time. The unknown parameters of a switching-type Probit model are estimated by maximum likelihood estimation. The maximised values of the uncertain revenue streams are stimulated. The results suggest that decreasing output prices and increasing direct subsidies trigger the switch to organic farming. The switch is also more likely on farms having large land areas and low yields. Intensive livestock production and labour-intensive production decrease the probability of switching to organic farming.