The political economy of the Ecuadorian financial crisis
通过访谈关键经济主体,探讨厄瓜多尔1999年银行崩溃的原因,发现内生性解释(如过度乐观、道德风险、监管薄弱)得到广泛支持,而非意外或政策失误。
This paper takes the unusual step of exploring economic hypotheses through interviews with key economic agents. It focuses on the causes of Ecuador's 1999 banking collapse, within an eclectic framework with Minskian elements. Broad support is found for 'endogenous' explanations of financial crises and little backing for explanations such as accidents or policy mistakes. Interviewees argued that after the stabilisation programme of 1992, agents became euphoric and accumulated debt to finance imprudent levels of expansion; that incentives for moral hazard led to financial corruption and excessive risk taking; and that weak regulation after financial liberalisation encouraged financial fragility. Copyright 2006, Oxford University Press.