Employment Opportunities, Wages and International Migration in Sweden 1970–1989
利用瑞典1970-1989年内部移民面板数据,检验新古典均衡模型与固定工资非均衡模型,发现就业机会差异对移民有预期影响,但工资与移民关系与理论不符,表明区域收入均等化主要通过就业机会与移民互动实现。
In this study I focus on the impact of aggregate labor turnover and regional labor market conditions on gross in‐ and out‐migration within the framework of a neoclassical flexible‐wage (equilibrium) model and a fixed‐wage (labor‐market disequilibrium) model. Using annual panel data on internal gross migration flows in Sweden from 1970 to 1989, I find that regional differences in employment opportunities have the expected effects on migration. The empirical relationship between real wages and gross migration flows is found to be less congruent with theory implications, indicating that compensated regional income prospects are equalized primarily via the interaction between employment opportunities and gross migration flows. Cyclical changes in hirings are shown to have a robust and strongly significant positive scale effect on migration.