理性预期计量经济模型的有效估计

The Efficient Estimation of Econometric Models with Rational Expectations

Review of Economic Studies · 1982
被引 249
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

指出,用替代法估计理性预期模型通常需非线性联立方程估计器,计算不便;而采用变量误差法,对一大类问题可用标准方法获得有效估计,且计算简便、保证一致性。

Abstract

The efficient estimation of econometric models with rational expectations by the substitution method usually entails the use of a non-linear simultaneous equations estimator and hence is not very attractive computationally. It is shown that for a wide class of problems efficient estimates can also be obtained with standard estimation methods if instead an errors in variables approach is used. For many other problems, although not providing fully efficient estimates because rationality is not imposed, the errors in variables method will still have a strong appeal because otherwise it uses all of the structural information in the model; unlike the substitution method, when an incomplete information set is used, it guarantees consistent estimates; and it is easy to compute.

理性预期计量模型替代法变量误差法