惯例的演化

The Evolution of Conventions

Econometrica · 1993
被引 2404 · 同刊同年前 6%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

展示了一群个体如何在缺乏共同知识和有限理性的条件下学会协调博弈,并证明当犯错概率极小时,长期中几乎总是出现一个特定的协调均衡。

Abstract

The author shows how a group of individuals can learn to play a coordination game without any common knowledge and with only a small amount of rationality. The game is repeated many times by different players. Each player chooses an optimal reply based on incomplete information about what other players have done in the past. Occasionally they make mistakes. When the likelihood of mistakes is very small, typically one coordination equilibrium will be played almost all of the time over the long run. This stochastically stable equilibrium can be computed analytically using a general theorem the author proves on perturbed Markov processes. Copyright 1993 by The Econometric Society.

惯例演化协调博弈随机稳定均衡马尔可夫过程