时间序列计量经济模型的一个简单总体过度识别设定检验

A SIMPLE OMNIBUS OVERIDENTIFICATION SPECIFICATION TEST FOR TIME SERIES ECONOMETRIC MODELS

Econometric Theory · 2014
被引 8
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

针对时间序列计量经济模型,提出一种基于残差二次型最小值的总体设定检验,通过野自助法轻松获取临界值,解决了现有ICM检验临界值不易得的难题。

Abstract

Despite their theoretical advantages, Integrated Conditional Moment (ICM) specification tests are not commonly employed in the econometrics practice. An important reason is that the employed test statistics are nonpivotal, and so critical values are not readily available. This article proposes an omnibus test in the spirit of the ICM tests of Bierens and Ploberger (1997, Econometrica 65, 1129–1151) where the test statistic is based on the minimized value of a quadratic function of the residuals of time series econometric models. The proposed test falls under the category of overidentification restriction tests started by Sargan (1958, Econometrica 26, 393–415). The corresponding projection interpretation leads us to propose a straightforward wild bootstrap procedure that requires only linear regressions to estimate the critical values irrespective of the model functional form. Hence, contrary to other existing ICM tests, the critical values are easily calculated while the test preserves the admissibility property of ICM tests.

时间序列计量模型过度识别检验ICM检验Wild Bootstrap