好时光与坏时光中的货币政策策略:近期历史的教训

A monetary policy strategy in good and bad times: lessons from the recent past

Economic Policy · 2013
被引 67
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

评估了欧洲央行在正常时期和金融危机期间的货币政策策略,发现危机前强调货币指标避免了通胀和经济活动过度波动,危机后的非常规措施有助于维持价格稳定和防止经济崩溃。

Abstract

We evaluate the ECB's monetary policy strategy against some of the underlying economic features of the eurozone, in normal times and during the financial crisis. We show that in the years preceding the crisis the ECB's emphasis on monetary indicators and deliberate avoidance of excessive activism were justified by the underlying macroeconomic conditions that the ECB faced in the eurozone and contributed to avoid more volatile patterns of inflation and economic activity. After the collapse of financial intermediation in late 2008, the strategy of the ECB was to adopt several non-standard policy measures. According to our quantitative evaluation of the impact of the main non-standard policies decided in October 2008 and in May 2009, which notably did not include entering commitments regarding the future path of the policy rate, such measures have significantly contributed to preserving price stability and forestalling a more disruptive collapse of the macroeconomy.— Stephan Fahr, Roberto Motto, Massimo Rostagno, Frank Smets and Oreste Tristani

欧洲央行货币政策策略非常规货币政策欧元区宏观经济金融危机应对