Exchange Rate Uncertainty and the Demand for U.S. Soybeans
研究汇率不确定性如何影响美国大豆的出口，发现日本、法国和西班牙的进口对短期汇率波动敏感，且影响因国家而异。
Abstract This study examines the effects of exchange rate uncertainty on bilateral soybean trade flows and finds that imports for Japan, France, and Spain are sensitive to short‐term variations in nominal bilateral exchange rates. This research extends previous work by focusing on bilateral trade for a single commodity, using a longer sample period, and testing over a variety of model specifications. The results suggest that the effects vary across countries depending on access to forward markets, the availability of alternative soybean suppliers, the degree of market concentration in the domestic soybean processing sector, and the degree of currency risk importers are willing to assume.