Testing for Granger Causality in Moments
提出一种灵活的方法,用于检验不同矩中的格兰杰因果关系,适用于全样本和样本外场景;通过蒙特卡洛模拟验证有效性,并用实例展示其在探索多种格兰杰因果类型中的灵活性。
Abstract In this paper, we consider a generalized approach which is flexibly applicable to testing Granger causality in various moments and in both the full‐sample and out‐of‐sample contexts. We further use this approach to establish a class of cross‐correlation tests for financial time series analysis, and show the advantages of this class of tests in unifying and generalizing Box–Pierce‐type Granger causality tests. We also conduct a Monte Carlo simulation to show the validity of our tests, and provide an empirical example to demonstrate the flexibility of our tests in exploring various types of Granger causality.