部分识别模型(由矩不等式定义)的Bootstrap推断:识别集的覆盖

Bootstrap Inference in Partially Identified Models Defined by Moment Inequalities: Coverage of the Identified Set

Econometrica · 2010
被引 178
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一种新的Bootstrap方法,用于对由弱矩不等式定义的部分识别经济模型进行推断,目标是覆盖识别集,并证明其覆盖误差率优于子抽样方法。

Abstract

This paper introduces a novel bootstrap procedure to perform inference in a wide class of partially identified econometric models. We consider econometric models defined by finitely many weak moment inequalities,2 which encompass many applications of economic interest. The objective of our inferential procedure is to cover the identified set with a prespecified probability.3 We compare our bootstrap procedure, a competing asymptotic approximation, and subsampling procedures in terms of the rate at which they achieve the desired coverage level, also known as the error in the coverage probability. Under certain conditions, we show that our bootstrap procedure and the asymptotic approximation have the same order of error in the coverage probability, which is smaller than that obtained by using subsampling. This implies that inference based on our bootstrap and asymptotic approximation should eventually be more precise than inference based on subsampling. A Monte Carlo study confirms this finding in a small sample simulation.

部分识别矩不等式Bootstrap推断覆盖概率