COINTEGRATION AND UNIT ROOTS
综述了含积分变量时的检验、估计和模型设定方法,从实证研究者角度介绍协整分析如何检验经济理论的均衡预测。
Abstract. This paper provides an updated survey of a burgeoning literature on testing, estimation and model specification in the presence of integrated variables. Integrated variables are a specific class of non‐stationary variables which seem to characterise faithfully the properties of many macroeconomic time series. The analysis of cointegration develops out of the existence of unit roots and offers a generic route to test the validity of the equilibrium predictions of economic theories. Special emphasis is put on the empirical researcher's point of view.