非正态因变量下农业时间序列模型的有效估计

Efficient Estimation of Agricultural Time Series Models with Nonnormal Dependent Variables

American Journal of Agricultural Economics · 2003
被引 29
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

提出用扩展的Johnson SU分布近似回归模型中的非正态分布,可处理异方差和自相关,通过蒙特卡洛模拟评估,并以西德克萨斯棉花基差实证说明,相比最小二乘法能显著降低斜率参数估计的方差。

Abstract

This article proposes using an expanded form of the Johnson S U family as a way to approximate nonnormal distributions in regression models. The distribution is one of the few that allows modeling heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation. The technique is evaluated with Monte Carlo simulation and illustrated through an empirical model of the West Texas cotton basis. Given nonnormality, this technique can substantially reduce the variance of slope parameter estimates relative to least squares procedures.

Johnson S_U分布非正态回归异方差自相关棉花基差