Baxter-King滤波时间序列的周期性质

Cyclical Properties of Baxter-King Filtered Time Series

Review of Economics and Statistics · 2003
被引 136
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

证明Baxter-King带通滤波器无法分离随机趋势中的周期成分,滤波后序列的谱性质主要受趋势影响,并以美国实际GDP为例说明。

Abstract

This note demonstrates that the Baxter-King (1999) filter, and in general any bandpass filter, does not isolate the cycle in an unobserved-components model with a stochastic trend. The first difference of the trend passes through the filter, and as a result, the spectral properties of the filtered series depend on the trend in the unfiltered series. It is demonstrated that for postwar U.S. real GDP, the spectral properties of the BK-filtered series are primarily to due to the stochastic trend in output. © 2003 President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Baxter-King滤波器带通滤波器随机趋势谱性质