A Theory of Optimal Random Crackdowns
基于激励的警务理论解释了随机突击行动（即间歇性高强度拦截/监控）现象，利用比利时警方交通数据验证了理论，并估计了额外资源用于超速拦截的威慑效果。
An incentives based theory of policing is developed which can explain the phenomenon of random “crackdowns,” i.e., intermittent periods of high interdiction/surveillance. For a variety of police objective functions, random crackdowns can be part of the optimal monitoring strategy. We demonstrate support for implications of the crackdown theory using traffic data gathered by the Belgian Police Department and use the model to estimate the deterrence effect of additional resources spent on speeding interdiction.