不对称汇率依赖性的建模

MODELLING ASYMMETRIC EXCHANGE RATE DEPENDENCE*

International Economic Review · 2006
被引 2063 · 同刊同年前 2%
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

检验了德国马克与日元汇率之间的不对称依赖性,发现两者对美元贬值时的相关性高于升值时。

Abstract

We test for asymmetry in a model of the dependence between the Deutsche mark and the yen, in the sense that a different degree of correlation is exhibited during joint appreciations against the U.S. dollar versus during joint depreciations. We consider an extension of the theory of copulas to allow for conditioning variables, and employ it to construct flexible models of the conditional dependence structure of these exchange rates. We find evidence that the mark–dollar and yen–dollar exchange rates are more correlated when they are depreciating against the dollar than when they are appreciating.

汇率不对称依赖条件Copula马克-美元汇率日元-美元汇率