A STRUCTURAL MODEL OF TURNOUT AND VOTING IN MULTIPLE ELECTIONS
构建了一个统一框架研究多选举中的参与和投票行为，结合不确定选民模型和空间投票模型，利用2000年美国大选个体数据估计模型，量化个人特征与意识形态、信息、公民义务的关系，并评估提升信息与义务感对投票行为的影响。
This paper develops a unified approach to study participation and voting in multiple elections. The theoretical setting combines an uncertain-voter model of turnout with a spatial model of voting behavior. We apply our framework to the study of turnout and voting in US Presidential and Congressional elections. We structurally estimate the model using individual-level data for the 2000 elections, and quantify the relationships between observed individual characteristics and unobserved citizens’ ideological preferences, information, and civic duty. We then use the estimated model, which replicates the patterns of abstention, selective abstention, split-ticket voting, and straight-ticket voting observed in the data, to assess the effects of policies that may increase citizens’ information and sense of civic duty on their turnout and voting behavior.