The Effect of Job Displacement on Couples’ Fertility Decisions
利用芬兰纵向登记数据，研究工厂倒闭导致的失业对夫妻生育的影响，发现女性失业会减少生育，而男性失业则无影响，表明收入效应并非主要机制。
This paper analyzes the effects of job displacement on fertility using Finnish longitudinal register data. We focus on couples where one spouse has lost a job due to a plant closure and follow them for several years before and following the job loss. The results show that female job loss decreases fertility. For every 100 displaced females, there are three fewer children born. Male job loss has no impact on fertility despite resulting in a stronger decrease in family income than female job loss. This indicates that the income effect is not the mechanism through which job displacement influences fertility.