The strategic bombing of German cities during World War II and its impact on city growth
利用独特数据集分析二战战略轰炸对德国城市增长的冲击,发现轰炸对西德和全德城市增长有显著但暂时的影响,对东德则不然。
We construct a unique data set in order to analyse whether or not a large temporary shock has an impact on city growth. Following recent work by Davis and Weinstein on Japan, we take the strategic bombing of German cities during World War II as an example of such a shock, and analyse its impact on post-war German city growth. If the war shock has only a temporary impact, then there will be a tendency towards mean reversion. Our main finding is that the bombing had a significant but temporary impact on post-war city growth in Germany as a whole as well as in West Germany separately, but that this is not the case for city growth in East Germany.