再论专家意见整合的公理化方法

Another Look at an Axiomatic Approach to Expert Resolution

Management Science · 1986
被引 24
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

指出Morris提出的专家概率判断整合公理中有一条不令人满意,该公理导致离散与连续情形间的冲突,而采用一致的方法可消除此冲突。

Abstract

Morris proposed a set of axioms for combining experts’ probability assessments. It is here argued that one of these axioms is unsatisfactory. Its use leads to a conflict between the discrete and continuous cases which disappears in a coherent approach.

专家概率公理方法离散与连续一致性