Redefining Who’s ‘In’ and Who’s ‘Out’: Explaining Preferences for Redistribution in Bolivia
研究福利国家扩张如何重塑政治联盟，通过分析玻利维亚过去30年的社会保险制度及2007年养老金改革后的调查数据，发现劳动力市场脆弱性和政党线索会影响“内部人”和“外部人”的偏好，从而形成新的支持扩张的联盟。
How does welfare state expansion reconfigure political coalitions? This paper challenges traditional accounts that pit social policy ‘insiders’, who univocally oppose policy expansion, against ‘outsiders’ who favour it. It argues that labour market vulnerability and partisan cues can play a critical role in shaping the preferences of both insiders and outsiders, and thus produce new pro-expansion coalitions. To test this claim, it employs historical analysis of key social insurance configurations in Bolivia over the last 30 years, as well as an original survey carried out in Bolivia following that nation’s 2007 extension of a noncontributory national minimum pension.