The agricultural crisis in Egypt
探讨埃及农业问题的历史根源与当前应对策略，指出阶级结构、资源分配和政权社会基础阻碍了农民动员和分散激励，评估纳赛尔土地改革和当前作物调整策略的局限性。
Abstract The paper probes the historical origins of and current responses to the agricultural problems of Egypt. Much of the difficulty stems from the fact that the class structure, the distribution of resources, and the social bases of both Nasser's and Sadat's regime have blocked either the mobilization of the peasantry on the one hand or the provision of decentralized incentives on the other. After a brief assessment of Nasser's land reforms, price policies, and investment strategy, the current responses of changing crop patterns and mechanization are assessed. Such a strategy seems unlikely to succeed, but no other obvious alternative strategy is at hand. Notes Department of Economics, University of California, Santa Cruz. Some of the information in this paper was gathered while the author was working for the Agricultural Development Systems Project of the University of California—Egyptian Ministry of Agriculture—USAID. I would also like to thank the editors, Malcolm Kerr, Galal Amin, Peter Lindert, and an anonymous reviewer for helpful comments on a previous draft. None of these people, nor the Project, nor the sponsoring institutions bears the least responsibility for the views expressed here.