Climate Change and the Stability of Water Allocation Agreements
用博弈论模型分析河流沿岸国家间水分配协议的稳定性，发现平均流量下降会降低稳定性，而流量方差的影响可正可负；固定水量分配给下游国的规则稳定性最低。
We analyse agreements on river water allocation between riparian countries. Besides being efficient, water allocation agreements need to be stable in order to be effective in increasing the efficiency of water use. In this paper we assess the stability of water allocation agreements using a game theoretic model. We consider the effects of climate change and the choice of a sharing rule on stability. Our results show that a decrease in mean river flow decreases the stability of an agreement, while an increased variance can have a positive or a negative effect on stability. An agreement where the downstream country is allocated a fixed amount of water has the lowest stability compared to other sharing rules. These results hold for both constant and flexible non-water transfers.