Effective Exchange Rates and the Classical Gold Standard Adjustment
利用新的贸易加权汇率数据集,揭示古典金本位时期被忽视的调整机制:与弹性货币制度国家的贸易导致名义有效汇率波动,进而通过实际汇率变动影响贸易平衡,弹性约为1,有助于恢复外部均衡。
Using a new international dataset of trade-weighed exchange rates, this paper highlights a neglected adjustment mechanism in the classical gold standard literature. Since gold-pegged countries traded extensively with economies operating more flexible monetary regimes and where parity change was a common adjustment device to systemic shocks, we show that such parity adjustments induced worldwide swings in nominal effective exchange rates. These translated into real exchange rate variations to which trade balances responded with an average elasticity of unity and in the direction of restoring external disequilibria. We conclude that some nominal exchange rate flexibility thus present in the pre-1914 system was instrumental to international payments adjustment.