厚尾分布的参数自助法

A PARAMETRIC BOOTSTRAP FOR HEAVY-TAILED DISTRIBUTIONS

Econometric Theory · 2014
被引 21
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

针对厚尾分布中Efron自助法失效的问题,提出一种参数自助法,模拟研究表明其在厚尾分布下优于m out of n自助法和子抽样法,除非尾部指数接近1且分布严重偏斜。

Abstract

It is known that Efron’s bootstrap of the mean of a distribution in the domain of attraction of the stable laws with infinite variance is not consistent, in the sense that the limiting distribution of the bootstrap mean is not the same as the limiting distribution of the mean from the real sample. Moreover, the limiting bootstrap distribution is random and unknown. The conventional remedy for this problem, at least asymptotically, is either the m out of n bootstrap or subsampling. However, we show that both these procedures can be unreliable in other than very large samples. We introduce a parametric bootstrap that overcomes the failure of Efron’s bootstrap and performs better than the m out of n bootstrap and subsampling. The quality of inference based on the parametric bootstrap is examined in a simulation study, and is found to be satisfactory with heavy-tailed distributions unless the tail index is close to 1 and the distribution is heavily skewed.

参数自助法重尾分布稳定分布尾指数